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Casino Gaming Systems -- A Warning

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Here's where we'll give you some ideas to think about if you are considering buying and paying for help to win at casino gaming. This is a warning about casino hustlers trying to sell you a system they claim will make you a lot of money. This is also a suggestion for you to investigate and use the free help that you can find online and with free classes that are offered by the casinos.

BETTING SYSTEMS

Update March 5, 2016  If you've been to a casino at least once you've heard someone talk about how to bet. Some players or even casino dealers will tell you that some betting systems are better than others. I have never heard of a betting system that beats the house. And I think you should choose a betting strategy (call it a system if you like) that only fits your personal comfort.

Dealers don't always give you the best advice though I am not going to dispute that casino dealers know their games. I have been at craps tables when a new player asked for help and a dealer gave them advice about betting that didn't work out the way it was supposed to. Here are a couple of examples.

There was the new player who came to a table with a limited bankroll. The craps dealer suggested that the player bet the passline with double odds -- and that's pretty standard advice and play. The point was six. Then the dealer suggested a come bet and the number rolled was 5, and again the dealer suggested double odds. The dealer suggested another come bet (having two come bets is a standard strategy) and the number rolled was a 4 and again the dealer suggested double odds. Now with a passline bet and two come bets working with double odds the dealer said "now we wait for a repeater." But there was no repeater. The next number thrown was a 7 and all of the bets were swept away.

Another example of good advice that didn't work out was about betting the odds on a come-out roll. The come-out throw showed a 4 and the dealer told a player to bet full odds because "it's the best bet on the table." While "odds" are paid at true odds without a house edge or discount, it's only the best bet on the table if it is paid. In this case the player had only enough chips for the passline and the full odds. The player was lucky to be at the table when a hot shooter had the dice and held the dice for a long time, rolling lots of numbers. But the shooter never hit another 4. Had the player bet the 6 and 8 or the 5 and 9 instead of the odds on the 4 he would have made a lot of money.

There is also advice about when to press your bets. To press means to add money to your original bet. For example, when a six is rolled a dealer might ask you if you want to press your six? If you have $6 on the six and it hits, it will pay you $7. Do you want to press your bet to $12?

Pressing bets will allow you to use previous payoffs to win more money if the lucky streak continues. But each time you take a payoff and return it to the table as a pressed bet you are taking money out of your pocket and putting it at risk. Some players will press a bet with their winnings thinking they are pressing with the casino's money. But that payoff is not the casino's money any longer. Remember when a bet is paid the money that is paid to you is now your money.

I like to press bets only after my original outlay on the table has been returned to me as winnings. For example, if I have $82 originally bet at the start of the hand, I will only press once I have won back that $82. And when I press, I press slowly.

One strategy for how to press bets is to press with every other win. Take one and press one, is what some dealers might say.

Which number do you press? Do you press the number that was just rolled or do you press a number that hasn't hit yet? I'm not a fortune teller, I don't know.

What about regressing your bets? To regress is simply to lower your bets. Once you have a profit there is nothing wrong with lowering your bets to limit your exposure. There is nothing wrong with taking a profit either so if you choose to turn all of your bets "off" or to remove them from the table there is nothing wrong with. You might kick yourself if after turning off your bets or reducing them that the shooter continues to hold the dice for another thirty rolls but how would you know that without a crystal ball? My crystal ball was destroyed in the Northridge Earthquake.

I think the best strategy is to play the way that makes you feel the most comfortable. Do you want to risk the money you just won? If you don't then don't press. Are you afraid of losing because you think the shooter has rolled too many "good numbers" and the 7 is overdue? If that's the way you feel then remove your bets. On the other hand if a shooter just hit the Yo (11) do you think he will roll an Eleven again? If you do then press the Yo or throw out an Eleven.

If you believe craps is a random game, then your best strategy is always to play and bet the way that makes you feel good about what you're doing. If you feel that there is some force -- natural or supernatural -- that effects the outcome of the dice then bet accordingly.

Perhaps the most important thing to remember is that no number is due. While the odds say that a 7 will show one out of six times when two fair dice are rolled, a shooter can throw the dice twenty or fifty times without rolling a 7. While the odds say that a 12 will show one out of 36 times when two fair dice are rolled, a shooter can throw the dice three times and each time boxcars (12) will show.

Some players will argue that they can play a game for the long term and the long term will make them see what the long term says will be. Unfortunately, none of us play for the long term. The long term might say you will hit a royal flush in video poker once in 42,000 hands yet there are players who have never hit a royal flush and there are players who have hit a royal flush twice in five hands or even back-to-back.

SHOULD YOU BUY GAMING INFORMATION, GUIDES, STRATEGIES, LESSONS?

Update February 25, 2016  We all have the dream of walking into a casino with a few hundred dollars, or maybe a few thousand, and walking out of the casino being called "boss" because we just won so much money they are going to name the hotel towers after us.

Then there are those of us with more modest dreams and we want to win just a few extra hundred dollars a week or even a day just to have extra disposable income. There are those who claim to be "advantage players" who say they have an edge over the casinos because they figured out something that the casino missed.

There are also people who claim they have beat the casinos for hundreds or thousands of dollars each time they played and they did it with a system or a program or a strategy that they call unique. What they might also want to do is sell you their system perhaps in classes or with a video or a book or subscription to a website. Maybe they will offer to teach you their methodology in one-on-one tutoring sessions or they will accompany you to a casino and advise you as you play.

Sometimes these sellers of methodologies or systems will ask for money up front, and sometimes they will say "if you win using my advice just split the profits with me." If they say "split the profits" with me you should also be asking "are you going to put up half of your money on the bets?"

Let's be honest about this.  If you want to be a good gambler, you need to know how the various gambling games are played so that you can make the best bets.  That doesn't mean you are going to win -- but having knowledge about the game and knowledge about the bets will help you get the most potential for your money. Sometimes you need to use someone else's information or experience or advice. Sometimes you have to pay for it -- perhaps buying a book or attending a class.

If you are going to pay someone for help or information be aware of the risk and reward of the arrangement. How much money do you want to pay up front for information or "help" that just might not work in a game of luck? Buying a book for $29.95 and paying for coaching at $250 an hour are on different levels.

Some basic advice you can get from the casinos and from other players or you can read on websites -- all at no charge. My advice is always to start there.

Let's take the game of craps because there is plenty of free gaming information on the web and some casinos still offer free classes on how to play.  If you want to stretch a limited bankroll you would avoid the one-roll bets such as the "field" and the "horn numbers" because unless your bets "win" you can quickly go through a limited bankroll.  If you want to stretch a limited bankroll in craps you might be better off making a bet that remains on the table until it is resolved -- either with a loss or a win.  These bets include the passline, the don't pass, and placing certain numbers -- or even the hardways.  One single bet such as the pass, or a place 6, or even a hard-6 might keep you at the table for an hour -- or you could lose it on the next roll. Several casinos offer a free craps lesson and they even reward you with a free bet coupon for attending.

Do you know the right way to play blackjack?  Do you know when to hit, stand, split, double-down?  Read a book or go online.

And then there are the other "lessons" and guides and tips and insider secrets that you see advertised.  Can they help you?  Well, I'm not going to pass judgment on any of them here, but I will urge you to use caution before you spend any kind of "real money" on any kind of lesson.

I admit that I've spent a few bucks on attending lectures about dice influencing and dice control but I would not spend $1,500 or more for a weekend of "dice control instruction."  To me, lessons like that aren't worth it -- and I think I've learned enough from the books, the web and the lectures to know dice influencing which is also called dice control is a fine art that I don't have.

What about books and videos about playing video poker?  What about practice games you can use on your home computer?  if the price isn't too steep these can be worthwhile.  But be wary about paying good money for any kind of system that says it can beat the house.

Even though a lot of information is available for free and a lot of gaming information is available at low cost, there are still the hustlers who will tell you their system is a guaranteed winner and they want to charge you big bucks for it.

I've decided that it's pretty easy to sell a gambling system. The gambling system doesn't have to actually "work" but you just have to give the appearance that it works. Some testimonials will help. In fact, some of these hustlers can fashion their "pitch" so that it can't be challenged. What I have found is that these hustlers have a five-step system for making sales and for blocking critics. I am writing this not because I want anyone to use this information to help them sell a system to an unsuspecting consumer, but I am writing this to keep consumers from buying into pipe dreams about gambling.

Before I get into the five steps of selling a gambling system, a basic rule to remember: You can't beat the house in most games unless you get very lucky. There are exceptions, of course, but the exceptions are few otherwise the casino industry wouldn't be able to keep the lights on.

This is not about the "exceptions" but this is about preventing you from buying into a false dream and the writings or lessons taught by a false prophet.

The five steps a hustler can be using for selling a gambling system:

Step #1 You appeal to those who feel cheated -- the "lost."
What better audience is there for a gambling system but people who have gambled and lost in casinos? Whatever they've tried before didn't work, so they are begging for something that will work. They are ready to buy. The hustler simply says "you did it the mainstream way, the conventional way, and what did it get you? You can't afford not to try my way."

Step #2 You tell them that it's not their fault that they lost.
You give them a reason that is totally out of their control for their losses. You might claim that the video poker or slot games are not random, or that they are rigged. You might say that the casino has placed the winning machines in certain positions. You might say that only insiders know which games to bet on, or which bets to make on the roulette wheel. You tell them, and reinforce the idea, that others have the knowledge they are lacking and you can provide the missing knowledge. At the same time, by telling your customers that they are not to blame for their losses you also give them hope that your solution will work.

Step #3 Your have a solution: a system, a strategy, a plan.
This plan is your plan, it is unique, it is something that no one else ever came up with before. If it weren't unique there would be no reason to buy it from you. You developed the plan and you invested heavily into it. You identify with your customers telling them that before you devised your system/plan you were a loser just like they are. Now, your system/plan changes everything.

Step #4 You have the proof.
Proof of your success in gambling can come in various ways. You can show tax forms, trophies, bracelets, photos of jackpots, newspaper articles and TV video clips, web articles. Of course, your wins don't have to come from your system. A photo of a jackpot doesn't mean that your system led to the jackpot. A photo of a check or a W2G IRS gambling form doesn't say the system was responsible for the big win. So, evidence of any win, any jackpot, any success in a casino can be used to justify a system/plan because there is really no way to challenge it.

Step #5 Remove the possibility of challenges to your system.
You want to remove the challenges and make it difficult or impossible for anyone to challenge you or your system. How do you do that? First, you don't accept any challenges or tests. Second, you make the conditions of tests or challenges so difficult or high that few will accept. Third, you make the system so unique -- with changing conditions and changing requirements, that the system becomes impossible to test. You combine written material with lectures, and lectures with personal counseling sessions, and personal counseling sessions with a requirement of practice, and finally a disclaimer that it can't work 100% of the time because the casinos can catch on to you and they are changing their strategies to stop you. Remember, the casinos are out to get you -- you are the enemies of the casinos -- and the buyers of your plan/strategy/secrets must be kept aware that the casinos will do anything and everything to keep them from enjoying the forbidden fruit you are selling.

Those are the five steps for a hustler selling a gambling system. The hustler tells you his system will work but he prevents challenges of it. And when the system doesn't work, the hustler tells you the casinos have changed the games with counter-measures to block his successful methodology. Again my warning: you pay for this? Good luck.

Here on our new media website "Moneyman" Alan Mendelson who is the original Best Deals TV Show reporter on KCAL9 and consumer advocate, shows you the best deals on TV, and the best buys, bargains and where savvy shoppers go to save, and how to get the most for "your money" with the best of Los Angeles, Orange County, Ventura County, Riverside County and San Bernardino County.  Our Best Buys TV Show has the best TV deals and is the only regularly scheduled weekly best deals TV show in Southern California.  We show you the best buys and best deals on TV and more deals and bargains on www.alanbestbuys.com and www.bestbuystvshow.com and watch for our Las Vegas TV show Vegas Best Buys.  Some of the content can come from paid advertising and from our advertiser paid TV infomercial programs.  The Best Buys TV Show is a paid infomercial program which may also include news and information which is not sponsored or paid for by advertisers.  AlanBestBuys.com has the highest ranking among competitive sites in Southern California according to the independent website ranking companies Alexa.com and Quantcast.com and our Best Buys TV Show is the most watched shopping and consumer information show in Southern California.

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